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Rational Speculative Bubbles in Iran Informal Exchange Rate and Currency Crisis: Time-varying probabilities Markov regime switching approach

Ali Tayebnia; Mohsen Mehrara; Azadeh Akhtari

Volume 19, Issue 74 , October 2019, , Pages 111-164

https://doi.org/10.22054/joer.2019.11248

Abstract
  The purpose of this paper is identifying speculative rational bubbles and applying early warning indices to illustrate these bubbles in USD/IRR informal exchange rate during volatile period of March 2011 to September 2018. The deviation of the exchange rate from fundamental values which is known as bubble ...  Read More